Solta Medical acquired by Valeant Pharmaceuticals International: fairness opinion by Piper Sandler
Deal terms
Implied value per share by method vs. $2.92 offer
Ranges as disclosed in the banker’s summary of analyses; the red line marks the per-share consideration.
Opinion of Piper Sandler to the target board
Discounted cash flow assumptions
Free cash flows from December 31, 2013 to December 31, 2018 discounted back to December 31, 2013; taxes at assumed 35% marginal rate after utilization of $93 million in net operating losses.
Selected public companies (8)
Cutera, Inc. · Cynosure, Inc. · PhotoMedex, Inc. · Syneron Medical Ltd. · ZELTIQ Aesthetics, Inc. · Alphatec Holdings, Inc. · CryoLife Inc. · Exactech Inc.
| Multiple | Peer low | Peer median | Peer high | Range applied | Implied per share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aesthetics peers: EV / CY2013E revenue | 0.6x | 1.1x | 6.4x | — | — |
| Aesthetics peers: EV / CY2014E revenue | 0.5x | 1.0x | 5.4x | — | — |
| Aesthetics peers: EV / CY2013E gross profit | 1.0x | 2.0x | 9.2x | — | — |
| Aesthetics peers: EV / CY2014E gross profit | 0.9x | 1.9x | 7.5x | — | — |
| Aesthetics peers: EV / CY2013E EBITDA | 5.7x | 9.6x | 13.5x | — | — |
| Aesthetics peers: EV / CY2014E EBITDA | 4.7x | 9.0x | 12.2x | — | — |
| Aesthetics peers: implied equity value per diluted Share (max/min mean-median) | — | — | — | — | $1.32–$3.23 |
| Medtech financial profile peers: EV / CY2013E revenue | 1.1x | 1.4x | 2.0x | — | — |
| Medtech financial profile peers: EV / CY2014E revenue | 1.0x | 1.3x | 1.8x | — | — |
| Medtech financial profile peers: EV / CY2013E gross profit | 1.9x | 2.2x | 3.1x | — | — |
| Medtech financial profile peers: EV / CY2014E gross profit | 1.7x | 2.0x | 2.8x | — | — |
| Medtech financial profile peers: EV / CY2013E EBITDA | 8.8x | 10.3x | 11.7x | — | — |
| Medtech financial profile peers: EV / CY2014E EBITDA | 7.9x | 8.3x | 8.7x | — | — |
| Medtech financial profile peers: implied equity value per diluted Share (max/min mean-median) | — | — | — | — | $1.81–$2.07 |
Selected precedent transactions (19)
| Date | Target | Acquirer | Multiple |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2013-03-26 | Alma Lasers | Fosun Pharma | — |
| 2013-03-18 | Palomar | Cynosure | — |
| 2013-01-29 | Sound Surgical | Solta Medical | — |
| 2012-11-08 | DUSA Pharmaceuticals | Sun Pharma | — |
| 2011-06-28 | HOYA ConBio | Cynosure | — |
| 2009-09-09 | Candela Corporation | Syneron Medical | — |
| 2008-07-07 | Reliant Technologies | Thermage | — |
| 2006-11-30 | Laserscope (Aesthetics Business) | IRIDEX | — |
| 2006-03-23 | Alma Lasers | TA Associates | — |
| 2005-06-13 | TuiLaser AG | Coherent Inc. | — |
| 2001-02-26 | Coherent Medical Group | ESC Medical Systems | — |
| 2013-03-20 | Obagi Medical Products, Inc. | Valeant Pharmaceuticals | — |
| 2013-03-18 | Palomar Medical Technologies, Inc. | Cynosure, Inc. | — |
| 2012-02-24 | BREG, Inc. | Water Street Healthcare Partners | — |
| 2011-11-27 | Physio-Control, Inc. | Bain Capital | — |
| 2010-08-17 | Osteotech Inc. | Medtronic Inc. | — |
| 2010-04-29 | ATS Medical Inc. | Medtronic Inc. | — |
| 2010-01-04 | BioForm Medical, Inc. | Merz Pharma Group | — |
| 2009-10-08 | I-Flow Corporation | Kimberly-Clark Corporation | — |
| Multiple | Low | Median | High | Range applied | Implied per share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aesthetics transactions: EV / LTM revenue | 0.3x | 1.3x | 4.7x | — | — |
| Aesthetics transactions: EV / FTM revenue | 0.3x | 1.6x | 3.2x | — | — |
| Aesthetics transactions: implied equity value per diluted Share (max/min mean-median) | — | — | — | — | $1.75–$2.57 |
| Medtech financial profile transactions: EV / LTM revenue | 1.1x | 2.2x | 4.6x | — | — |
| Medtech financial profile transactions: EV / FTM revenue | 1.0x | 2.0x | 4.2x | — | — |
| Medtech financial profile transactions: EV / LTM EBITDA | 17.3x | 18.8x | 20.2x | — | — |
| Medtech financial profile transactions: implied equity value per diluted Share (max/min mean-median) | — | — | — | — | $0.93–$3.54 |
Other analyses
| Analysis | Summary | Implied per share |
|---|---|---|
| Historical Trading Analysis | Reviewed closing prices/volumes for the one-year period ended December 13, 2013: closing price $2.09 (12/13/13), 30 trading day average $1.98, 180 trading day average $2.14, one-year high $2.78 (1/4/13), one-year low $1.75 (5/7/13), versus Offer Price of $2.92. | $1.75–$2.78 |
| Premiums Paid Analysis | 42 selected public medical technology M&A transactions announced since January 1, 2009 with EV > $50 million; 1-day premiums ranged from 6% (low) to 172% (high), median 33%, mean 42%. Offer Price implied a 60% premium to the undisturbed price of $1.83 (11/11/13) and 41% to the $2.07 close (12/12/13). Implied equity values per diluted share of $2.43 to $2.94. | $2.43–$2.94 |
Estimated fee of approximately $4.7 million, contingent upon consummation of the Offer, except for $500,000 opinion fee already paid and credited against the total fee; opinion fee not contingent on consummation or conclusions.
Management projections
| Projection year | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | CAGR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $182M | $197M | $217M | $238M | 9.4% |
| Revenue growth | 10.3% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 9.7% | |
| EBITDA | $33.0M | $40.0M | $49.0M | $60.0M | 22.1% |
| EBITDA growth | 26.9% | 21.2% | 22.5% | 22.4% | |
| EBITDA margin | 18% | 20% | 23% | 25% | |
| Implied EV / EBITDA | 8.9x | 7.3x | 6.0x | 4.9x |
Year-1 growth is against LTM at announcement ($165M revenue, $26.0M EBITDA); later years are year over year.
Piper Jaffray used the Company's management internal financial projections for the quarter ended December 31, 2013 and the five fiscal years ending December 31, 2018, covering revenue, gross profit and EBITDA. These projections supported the DCF (free cash flows December 31, 2013 to December 31, 2018, taxed at an assumed 35% marginal rate after utilization of $93 million of NOLs) and the Company-side multiples in the comparable company and transaction analyses. Specific revenue/EBITDA dollar figures were not disclosed in the sections provided.
Process notes
Other Medical Devices and Supplies fairness opinions
- Rochester Medical / C. R. Bard 2013 · 13.1x EV/EBITDA
- Theragenics / Juniper Investment 2013 · 9.6x EV/EBITDA
- Conceptus / Bayer HealthCare 2013 · 28.0x EV/EBITDA
- CareFusion / Becton Dickinson 2014 · 13.0x EV/EBITDA
- Covidien / Medtronic 2014 · 17.5x EV/EBITDA
- Symmetry Medical OEMS Business / Tecomet 2014 · 8.5x EV/EBITDA
All Medical Devices and Supplies opinions → · Piper Sandler opinions