Team Health Holdings acquired by Blackstone: fairness opinion by Goldman Sachs
Deal terms
Implied value per share by method vs. $43.50 offer
Ranges as disclosed in the banker’s summary of analyses; the red line marks the per-share consideration.
Opinion of Goldman Sachs to the target board
Discounted cash flow assumptions
Discounted to present value as of June 30, 2016; Net Debt as of June 30, 2016 adjusted for debt incurred for the FEP acquisition subtracted.
Selected public companies (3)
Amsurg Corp. · MEDNAX, Inc. · Envision Healthcare Holdings, Inc.
| Multiple | Peer low | Peer median | Peer high | Range applied | Implied per share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EV / NTM EBITDA | 8.1x | 8.9x | 9.3x | — | — |
Selected precedent transactions (8)
| Date | Target | Acquirer | Multiple |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2005-10-11 | Team Health, Inc. | The Blackstone Group L.P. | 8.8x EV/LTM EBITDA |
| 2007-05-21 | Sheridan Healthcare, Inc. | Hellman & Friedman LLC | 12.1x EV/LTM EBITDA |
| 2011-02-14 | Emergency Medical Services Corporation | Clayton, Dubilier & Rice, Inc. | 9.7x EV/LTM EBITDA |
| 2012-05-21 | Healthcare Partners Holdings, LLC | Davita Inc. | 8.4x EV/LTM EBITDA |
| 2012-10-22 | CHG Healthcare Services, Inc. | Leonard Green & Partners, L.P.; Ares Management LLC | 12.6x EV/LTM EBITDA |
| 2014-05-29 | Sheridan Healthcare, Inc. | Amsurg Corp. | 12.2x EV/LTM EBITDA |
| 2015-08-04 | IPC Healthcare, Inc. | Team Health Holdings, Inc. | 22.2x EV/LTM EBITDA |
| 2016-06-17 | Envision Healthcare Holdings, Inc. | Amsurg Corp. | 12.6x EV/LTM EBITDA |
| Multiple | Low | Median | High | Range applied | Implied per share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EV / LTM EBITDA (applied to PF LTM 6/30/2016 Adjusted EBITDA) | 8.4x | — | 22.2x | 8.4x–12.6x | $16.85–$42.95 |
Other analyses
| Analysis | Summary | Implied per share |
|---|---|---|
| Implied Premia and Multiple Analysis | Merger consideration of $43.50 implied premia of 32.6% to the 10/3/2016 close of $32.80, 18.2% to the 10/28/2016 close of $36.80, 31.8% to 30-day VWAP of $33.00, 19.9% to 90-day VWAP of $36.28, and a (27.1)% discount to the 52-week high of $59.71. Implied Transaction Enterprise Value multiples: 12.7x PF LTM 6/30 Adjusted EBITDA, 12.9x PF LTM 9/30 Adjusted EBITDA, 12.2x 2016E Adjusted EBITDA, 11.7x PF 2016E Adjusted EBITDA. | — |
| Illustrative Present Value of Future Stock Price Analysis | Applied one-year forward EV/Adjusted EBITDA multiples of 9.0x to 11.5x to Management Projections Adjusted EBITDA to derive future per-share values as of December 31 of 2016-2020, discounted to June 30, 2016 at a 10.2% cost of equity. | $33.55–$71.10 |
| Premiums Paid Analysis | Reviewed 100% cash acquisitions of U.S. public companies from January 2011 to October 2016 with enterprise values of $4-$8 billion; median premiums of 41.6% (2011), 43.0% (2012), 31.1% (2013), 24.8% (2014), 28.9% (2015), 21.6% (2016). Applied illustrative premiums of 20.0% to 45.0% to the October 3, 2016 closing price. | $39.35–$47.55 |
Aggregate fee estimated at approximately $18.4 million, $15.4 million contingent on consummation; fee reduced by $1.5 million previously paid for services in connection with JANA share acquisition. Goldman received ~$5.3 million from TeamHealth and ~$165 million from Blackstone and its affiliates/portfolio companies over the prior two years.
Management projections
| Projection year | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | CAGR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $5.2B | $5.7B | $6.3B | $6.9B | $7.6B | 10.0% |
| Revenue growth | 11.0% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 9.9% | |
| EBITDA | $597M | $671M | $737M | $809M | $888M | 10.4% |
| EBITDA growth | 16.1% | 12.4% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 9.8% | |
| EBITDA margin | 12% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 12% | |
| Implied EV / EBITDA | 9.9x | 8.8x | 8.0x | 7.3x | 6.7x |
Year-1 growth is against LTM at announcement ($4.7B revenue, $514M EBITDA); later years are year over year.
Three sets of management forecasts were prepared: the July Projections, the August Projections and the final October "Management Projections," the last of which was the only set approved for Goldman Sachs's use. The Management Projections covered 2016E-2021E with revenue rising from $4,637 million in 2016E to $7,551 million in 2021E and Adjusted EBITDA from $503 million to $886 million, with unlevered free cash flow of $52 million (2H 2016 only) rising to $402 million in 2021E. The August Projections showed 2016E revenue of $4,656 million / Adjusted EBITDA of $514 million rising to $7,551 million / $888 million in 2021E; the July Projections showed 2016E revenue of $4,658 million / Adjusted EBITDA of $512 million rising to $7,554 million / $951 million in 2021E.
Process notes
Other Physician Groups fairness opinions
- Network Medical Management / Apollo Medical Holdings 2016 · 9.5x EV/EBITDA
- Envision Healthcare Holdings / AmSurg 2016 · 11.2x EV/EBITDA
- USMD Holdings / WellMed Medical Management 2016 · 15.5x EV/EBITDA
- ExamWorks Group / Leonard Green & Partners 2016 · 11.5x EV/EBITDA
- IPC Healthcare / TeamHealth 2015 · 22.5x EV/EBITDA
- Envision Healthcare Holdings / KKR 2018 · 10.0x EV/EBITDA