Surmodics acquired by GTCR: fairness opinion by Jefferies
Deal terms
Implied value per share by method vs. $43.00 offer
Ranges as disclosed in the banker’s summary of analyses; the red line marks the per-share consideration.
Opinion of Jefferies to the target board
Discounted cash flow assumptions
Present values calculated as of March 31, 2024; stock-based compensation treated as a cash expense.
Selected public companies (6)
Asahi Intecc Co., Ltd. · Integer Holdings Corporation · Nolato AB (publ) · Sotera Health Company · Tecan Group AG · UFP Technologies, Inc.
| Multiple | Peer low | Peer median | Peer high | Range applied | Implied per share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EV / CY2024E EBITDA | 9.6x | 16.0x | 24.0x | 16.0x–19.5x | $21.50–$26.20 |
| EV / CY2025E EBITDA | 8.9x | 14.5x | 21.7x | 14.5x–17.5x | $31.28–$37.57 |
Selected precedent transactions (15)
| Date | Target | Acquirer | Multiple |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-01 | Pulse Technologies, Inc. | Integer Holdings Corporation | — |
| 2023-10 | Paragon Medical Corp. | AMETEK, Inc. | — |
| 2023-07 | Klingel Holding GmbH | Elos Medtech AB | — |
| 2023-05 | Spectrum Plastics Group | DuPont de Nemours, Inc. | — |
| 2023-01 | Memry Corporation / SAES Smart Materials, Inc. (Nitinol Business) | Resonetics, LLC | — |
| 2022-02 | Intricon Corporation | Altaris Capital Partners, LLC | — |
| 2021-12 | Norwood Medical | Heraeus Holding GmbH | — |
| 2021-07 | Intech Group | Montagu Private Equity LLP | — |
| 2021-06 | Paramit Corporation | Tecan Group AG | — |
| 2021-01 | Scapa Group Plc | Schweitzer-Mauduit International, Inc. | — |
| 2020-01 | RTI Surgical Holdings (Surgical OEM Business) | Montagu Private Equity LLP | — |
| 2019-10 | Marle Group | Dentressangle SAS | — |
| 2018-05 | Integer Holdings Corporation (Advanced Surgical & Orthopedics Business) | MedPlast, LLC | — |
| 2018-04 | PMG Intermediate Holding Corporation | NN, Inc. | — |
| 2017-10 | CeramTec Group | BC Partners / The Public Sector Pension Investment Board / Ontario Teachers' Pension Plan | — |
| Multiple | Low | Median | High | Range applied | Implied per share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TV / LTM Revenue | 1.3x | 3.5x | 6.9x | 3.0x–4.0x | $23.73–$31.62 |
Aggregate fee currently estimated at approximately $7.5 million, of which a portion was payable upon delivery of the opinion and approximately $6 million is contingent upon consummation of the merger. Jefferies and affiliates received or expect to receive approximately $15 million in fees from GTCR and its affiliates/portfolio companies over the prior two years.
Management projections
| Projection year | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | CAGR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $145M | $179M | $216M | $255M | 20.7% |
| Revenue growth | 17.2% | 23.5% | 20.8% | 18.0% | |
| EBITDA | $27.4M | $42.1M | $61.7M | $80.0M | 42.9% |
| EBITDA growth | 64.1% | 53.6% | 46.6% | 29.7% | |
| EBITDA margin | 19% | 24% | 29% | 31% | |
| Implied EV / EBITDA | 22.5x | 14.6x | 10.0x | 7.7x |
Year-1 growth is against LTM at announcement ($124M revenue, $16.7M EBITDA); later years are year over year.
Management prepared projections for fiscal years ending September 30, 2024 through 2028, finalized in May 2024 and provided to the board, GTCR and Jefferies. Total revenue grows from $123.6 million in FY2024E to $254.9 million in FY2028E, with adjusted EBITDA rising from $16.7 million to $80.0 million and GAAP operating income from a $(5.1) million loss to $58.7 million. Unlevered free cash flow (calculated by Jefferies from the projections) ranges from $(2) million in the last six months of FY2024E to $45 million in FY2028E; management also identified potential cost synergies of $3.9-$4.5 million of public company costs plus $0.8 million of facility rent annually for FY2025-FY2028.
Process notes
Other Medical Devices and Supplies fairness opinions
- Silk Road Medical / Boston Scientific 2024
- Atrion / Nordson 2024 · 19.1x EV/EBITDA
- Shockwave Medical / Johnson & Johnson 2024 · 58.5x EV/EBITDA
- Axonics / Boston Scientific 2024 · 68.0x EV/EBITDA
- Hologic / Blackstone / TPG 2025 · 14.1x EV/EBITDA
- ZimVie / ARCHIMED 2025 · 10.8x EV/EBITDA
All Medical Devices and Supplies opinions → · Jefferies opinions