Omnicare acquired by CVS Health: fairness opinion by Centerview Partners and BofA Securities
Deal terms
Opinion of Centerview Partners to the target board
Selected public companies (11)
CVS Health Corporation · Walgreens Boots Alliance, Inc. · Express Scripts Holding Company · McKesson Corporation · Cardinal Health, Inc. · AmerisourceBergen Corporation · Henry Schein, Inc. · Patterson Companies, Inc. · Owens & Minor, Inc. · Diplomat Pharmacy, Inc. · PharMerica Corporation
| Multiple | Peer low | Peer median | Peer high | Range applied | Implied per share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EV / CY2015E EBITDA | 9.1x | 12.0x | 14.3x | 11.0x–13.5x | — |
| EV / CY2016E EBITDA | 8.5x | 11.1x | 13.2x | 10.0x–12.5x | — |
| P / CY2015E EPS | 16.1x | 19.2x | 22.6x | 17.0x–21.0x | — |
| P / CY2016E EPS | 14.5x | 16.7x | 20.0x | 15.5x–19.0x | — |
Other analyses
| Analysis | Summary | Implied per share |
|---|---|---|
| Selected Precedent Transactions Analysis (referenced) | Centerview compared certain proposed financial terms of the transaction with financial terms of certain other transactions it deemed relevant; specific transactions and multiples not included in the sliced text. | — |
Opinion of BofA Securities to the target board
Selected public companies (11)
CVS Health Corporation · Walgreens Boots Alliance, Inc. · Express Scripts Holding Company · McKesson Corporation · Cardinal Health, Inc. · AmerisourceBergen Corporation · Henry Schein, Inc. · Patterson Companies, Inc. · Owens & Minor, Inc. · Diplomat Pharmacy, Inc. · PharMerica Corporation
| Multiple | Peer low | Peer median | Peer high | Range applied | Implied per share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EV / CY2015E EBITDA | 9.1x | 12.0x | 14.3x | 11.0x–13.5x | — |
| EV / CY2016E EBITDA | 8.5x | 11.1x | 13.2x | 10.0x–12.5x | — |
| P / CY2015E EPS | 16.1x | 19.2x | 22.6x | 17.0x–21.0x | — |
| P / CY2016E EPS | 14.5x | 16.7x | 20.0x | 15.5x–19.0x | — |
Management projections
| Projection year | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | CAGR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $7.2B | $8.0B | $9.0B | $10B | 11.8% |
| Revenue growth | 8.6% | 11.4% | 12.0% | 11.9% | |
| EBITDA | $846M | $911M | $982M | $1.1B | 7.8% |
| EBITDA growth | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.8% | |
| EBITDA margin | 12% | 11% | 11% | 11% | |
| Implied EV / EBITDA | 14.7x | 13.7x | 12.7x | 11.8x |
Year-1 growth is against LTM at announcement ($6.6B revenue, $787M EBITDA); later years are year over year.
Omnicare management prepared five-year projections (2015E-2019E) in connection with the strategic alternatives review, furnished to the Omnicare Board, CVS and other bidders, and to BofA Merrill Lynch and Centerview for their financial analyses. Net sales grow from $6,643 million in 2015E to $10,070 million in 2019E; Adjusted EBITDA from $787 million to $1,059 million and Adjusted Operating Income from $674 million to $964 million. Net cash flows from operations were projected at $668 million in 2015E declining to $546 million in 2016E and rising to $605 million by 2019E; net income grows from $324 million to $517 million.
Process notes
Other Pharmacy / Infusion fairness opinions
- PharMerica / KKR 2017 · 9.6x EV/EBITDA
- CVS Health / Aetna 2017 · 7.2x EV/EBITDA
- Diplomat Pharmacy / UnitedHealth Group 2019 · 12.1x EV/EBITDA
- Walgreens / Sycamore Partners 2025 · 52.4x EV/EBITDA
All Pharmacy / Infusion opinions → · Centerview Partners opinions · BofA Securities opinions