Fairness opinionsPharmacy / Infusion2015

Omnicare acquired by CVS Health: fairness opinion by Centerview Partners and BofA Securities

Announced May 21, 2015 · One-step merger · All cash · DEFM14A filed July 21, 2015
Pharmacy / Infusion Institutional Rx
Enterprise value
$12B
equity $11B
EV / LTM EBITDA
15.8x
EBITDA $787M · 12% margin
EV / LTM revenue
1.87x
revenue $6.6B
DCF discount rate
8.0%–9.5%

Deal terms

ConsiderationAll cash
Price per share$98.00
Premium
Premium basis
StructureOne-step merger
Termination fee$350M (3.3% of equity)
Reverse termination fee
Go-shopNone
Outside dateMay 20, 2016

Opinion of Centerview Partners to the target board

Delivered May 20, 2015

Selected public companies (11)

CVS Health Corporation · Walgreens Boots Alliance, Inc. · Express Scripts Holding Company · McKesson Corporation · Cardinal Health, Inc. · AmerisourceBergen Corporation · Henry Schein, Inc. · Patterson Companies, Inc. · Owens & Minor, Inc. · Diplomat Pharmacy, Inc. · PharMerica Corporation

MultiplePeer lowPeer medianPeer highRange appliedImplied per share
EV / CY2015E EBITDA9.1x12.0x14.3x 11.0x–13.5x
EV / CY2016E EBITDA8.5x11.1x13.2x 10.0x–12.5x
P / CY2015E EPS16.1x19.2x22.6x 17.0x–21.0x
P / CY2016E EPS14.5x16.7x20.0x 15.5x–19.0x

Other analyses

AnalysisSummaryImplied per share
Selected Precedent Transactions Analysis (referenced)Centerview compared certain proposed financial terms of the transaction with financial terms of certain other transactions it deemed relevant; specific transactions and multiples not included in the sliced text.

Opinion of BofA Securities to the target board

Delivered May 20, 2015

Selected public companies (11)

CVS Health Corporation · Walgreens Boots Alliance, Inc. · Express Scripts Holding Company · McKesson Corporation · Cardinal Health, Inc. · AmerisourceBergen Corporation · Henry Schein, Inc. · Patterson Companies, Inc. · Owens & Minor, Inc. · Diplomat Pharmacy, Inc. · PharMerica Corporation

MultiplePeer lowPeer medianPeer highRange appliedImplied per share
EV / CY2015E EBITDA9.1x12.0x14.3x 11.0x–13.5x
EV / CY2016E EBITDA8.5x11.1x13.2x 10.0x–12.5x
P / CY2015E EPS16.1x19.2x22.6x 17.0x–21.0x
P / CY2016E EPS14.5x16.7x20.0x 15.5x–19.0x
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Management projections

Projection yearYear 1Year 2Year 3Year 4CAGR
Revenue$7.2B$8.0B$9.0B$10B11.8%
Revenue growth8.6%11.4%12.0%11.9%
EBITDA$846M$911M$982M$1.1B7.8%
EBITDA growth7.5%7.7%7.8%7.8%
EBITDA margin12%11%11%11%
Implied EV / EBITDA14.7x13.7x12.7x11.8x

Year-1 growth is against LTM at announcement ($6.6B revenue, $787M EBITDA); later years are year over year.

Omnicare management prepared five-year projections (2015E-2019E) in connection with the strategic alternatives review, furnished to the Omnicare Board, CVS and other bidders, and to BofA Merrill Lynch and Centerview for their financial analyses. Net sales grow from $6,643 million in 2015E to $10,070 million in 2019E; Adjusted EBITDA from $787 million to $1,059 million and Adjusted Operating Income from $674 million to $964 million. Net cash flows from operations were projected at $668 million in 2015E declining to $546 million in 2016E and rising to $605 million by 2019E; net income grows from $324 million to $517 million.

Process notes

Two financial advisors delivered opinions to the Omnicare Board on May 20, 2015 (BofA Merrill Lynch and Centerview); the proxy summarizes their financial analyses jointly as those of the "Financial Advisors." The sliced opinion section includes only the Centerview opinion narrative and the selected publicly traded companies analysis, so DCF, precedent transaction detail, implied per-share reference ranges and advisor fee amounts are not captured. Diplomat Pharmacy, Inc. was excluded from the multiple ranges. Termination fee of $350 million is stated as approximately 3.3% of the equity value of the transaction (implying roughly $10.6 billion equity value). Merger consideration amount was not restated in the provided sections.

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