Mmodal acquired by One Equity Partners: fairness opinion by Macquarie Capital
Deal terms
Implied value per share by method vs. $14.00 offer
Ranges as disclosed in the banker’s summary of analyses; the red line marks the per-share consideration.
Opinion of Macquarie Capital to the target board
Discounted cash flow assumptions
Sum-of-the-parts DCF: Base MTSO Business enterprise value $856.4-$966.4mm (perpetuity growth) plus High Growth Business $250.0-$453.8mm (exit multiple), total EV $1,106.4-$1,420.1mm, less net debt of $260.2mm and contingency payments of $34.9mm, over 58.6mm fully diluted shares. Macquarie assigned less weight to the DCF given the high growth rate assumed for the High Growth Business. Unlevered FCF = Adjusted EBITDA less capex, less cost of legal proceedings, less cash taxes, plus net change in working capital.
Selected public companies (7)
Nuance Communications, Inc. · Allscripts Healthcare Solutions, Inc. · Cerner Corporation · McKesson Corporation · MedAssets, Inc. · Accenture plc · Cognizant Technology Solutions Corporation
| Multiple | Peer low | Peer median | Peer high | Range applied | Implied per share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EV / CY2012E EBITDA (Wall Street consensus) | 6.3x | 8.8x | 17.0x | 7.3x–10.3x | $10.48–$16.90 |
| EV / LTM 3/31/12 Revenue | 0.2x | 2.5x | 6.0x | — | — |
| EV / LTM 3/31/12 EBITDA | 7.3x | 9.3x | 19.8x | — | — |
| EV / CY2012E Revenue | 0.2x | 2.2x | 5.4x | — | — |
| EV / CY2013E Revenue | 0.2x | 1.9x | 4.8x | — | — |
| EV / CY2013E EBITDA | 6.6x | 7.9x | 14.5x | — | — |
Selected precedent transactions (21)
| Date | Target | Acquirer | Multiple |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2012-03-07 | Transcend Services, Inc. | Nuance Communications, Inc. | 11.6x EV/LTM EBITDA |
| 2011-07-14 | Webmedx, Inc. | Nuance Communications, Inc. | 1.7x EV/LTM Revenue |
| 2010-02-03 | Spheris Inc. | MedQuist Inc. | 3.8x EV/LTM EBITDA |
| 2008-05-22 | MedQuist Holdings | CBay Systems Ltd. | 5.2x EV/LTM EBITDA |
| 2011-08-03 | Emdeon Business Services LLC | Blackstone Group L.P. | 12.4x EV/LTM EBITDA |
| 2011-03-03 | System C Healthcare Ltd. | McKesson Corp. | 15.9x EV/LTM EBITDA |
| 2010-12-20 | Sunquest Information Systems Inc. | Huntsman Gay Global Capital | — |
| 2010-11-01 | US Oncology, Inc. | McKesson Corp. | 9.5x EV/LTM EBITDA |
| 2010-10-01 | Chamberlin Edmonds & Associates, Inc. | Emdeon Inc. | — |
| 2010-09-14 | The Broadlane Group, Inc. | MedAssets, Inc. | 16.9x EV/LTM EBITDA |
| 2010-08-19 | Phase Forward, Inc. | Oracle Corp. | 13.2x EV/LTM EBITDA |
| 2010-06-22 | NetSmart Technologies Inc. | Genstar Capital | — |
| 2010-06-09 | Eclipsys Corp. | Allscripts Healthcare Solutions, Inc. | 11.6x EV/LTM EBITDA |
| 2010-06-06 | inVentiv Health Inc. | Thomas H. Lee Partners LP | 7.8x EV/LTM EBITDA |
| 2010-05-17 | Virtual Radiologic Corp. | Providence Equity Partners, Inc. | 7.5x EV/LTM EBITDA |
| 2010-01-22 | AMICAS, Inc. | Merge Healthcare, Inc. | 13.6x EV/LTM EBITDA |
| 2010-01-07 | Healthvision Solutions Inc. | Lawson Software | — |
| 2009-09-21 | Free & Clear, Inc. | Alere, Inc. | 19.9x EV/LTM EBITDA |
| 2009-12-08 | QuadraMed Corp. | Francisco Partners Management LLC | 7.3x EV/LTM EBITDA |
| 2008-10-10 | Allscripts Healthcare Solutions, Inc. | Misys plc | 10.5x EV/LTM EBITDA |
| 2008-08-04 | The TriZetto Group, Inc. | Apax Partners Worldwide LLP | 12.6x EV/LTM EBITDA |
| Multiple | Low | Median | High | Range applied | Implied per share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EV / LTM Revenue (overall mean 2.1x; weighted mean 1.8x; MTSO mean/median 1.7x; HCIT mean 2.2x / median 2.1x) | 0.6x | — | 5.2x | 1.8x–2.5x | $8.40–$14.19 |
| EV / LTM Adjusted EBITDA (overall mean 11.2x; weighted mean 9.2x; MTSO mean/median 8.4x; HCIT mean 12.2x / median 12.4x) | 3.8x | — | 19.9x | 8.0x–10.0x | $11.05–$15.07 |
Other analyses
| Analysis | Summary | Implied per share |
|---|---|---|
| Historical Stock Price Analysis | Common Stock traded between $6.52 and $13.82 over the one-year period ending June 29, 2012. $14.00 represented premiums of 7.9% to the $12.98 June 29, 2012 close; 11.0% to the 5-day VWAP ($12.61); 9.8% to the 30-day VWAP ($12.74); 10.6% to the 60-day VWAP ($12.66); 13.4% to the 90-day VWAP ($12.35); 19.6% to the 180-day VWAP ($11.71); 33.6% to the one-year VWAP ($10.48); 1.3% to the 52-week high close of $13.82; and 114.7% to the 52-week low close of $6.52. | $6.52–$13.82 |
| Benchmarking Analysis | Compared the Company's 2010, 2011 and 2012E revenue growth, EBITDA growth, EBITDA margin and EBIT margin (per management and per research) against the selected companies. | — |
Approximately $1.9 million payable as a result of delivery of the fairness opinion; an additional approximately $7.6 million payable if the Offer or Merger is consummated. Expense reimbursement and indemnification also provided. In certain circumstances Macquarie is entitled to a portion of any termination fee received by the Company.
Management projections
| Projection year | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | CAGR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $671M | $729M | $826M | $1.0B | 14.8% |
| Revenue growth | 28.5% | 8.6% | 13.4% | 22.8% | |
| EBITDA | $200M | $219M | $266M | $366M | 22.3% |
| EBITDA growth | 46.6% | 9.8% | 21.4% | 37.4% | |
| EBITDA margin | 30% | 30% | 32% | 36% | |
| Implied EV / EBITDA | 5.5x | 5.0x | 4.1x | 3.0x |
Year-1 growth is against LTM at announcement ($522M revenue, $136M EBITDA); later years are year over year.
Company management provided standalone non-public projections for fiscal 2012-2016 on a consolidated basis and separately for the Base MTSO Business and the High Growth Business. Consolidated total revenue was projected to grow from $522.0 million in 2012E to $1,014.9 million in 2016E, with Adjusted EBITDA growing from $136.2 million to $365.2 million and Total Unlevered Pre-Tax Free Cash Flow from $42.5 million to $279.0 million. On a segment basis, Base MTSO revenue was projected at $482.8 million (2012E) to $505.9 million (2016E) with Adjusted EBITDA of $128.9 million to $181.1 million, while High Growth Business revenue grows from $39.2 million to $508.9 million with Adjusted EBITDA of $7.3 million to $184.0 million.
Process notes
Other Outsourced Services fairness opinions
- SRI Surgical Express / Synergy Health 2012 · 7.6x EV/EBITDA
- Transcend Services / Nuance Communications 2012 · 10.8x EV/EBITDA
- Landauer / Fortive 2017 · 18.2x EV/EBITDA
- Advisory Board Healthcare / Optum 2017 · 10.3x EV/EBITDA
- BioTelemetry / Philips 2020 · 23.7x EV/EBITDA
- Sharps Compliance / Aurora Capital Partners 2022 · 25.2x EV/EBITDA
All Outsourced Services opinions → · Macquarie Capital opinions