eResearch Technology acquired by Genstar Capital: fairness opinion by J.P. Morgan
Deal terms
Implied value per share by method
Ranges as disclosed in the banker’s summary of analyses.
Opinion of J.P. Morgan to the target board
Discounted cash flow assumptions
Unlevered free cash flows from FY2012 through FY2021; terminal asset values calculated at end of 10-year period ending December 31, 2021.
Selected public companies (5)
Covance Inc. · Charles River Laboratories International, Inc. · PAREXEL International Corporation · ICON plc · Medidata Solutions, Inc.
| Multiple | Peer low | Peer median | Peer high | Range applied | Implied per share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FV / EBITDA 2012E | 7.8x | 9.1x | 11.5x | 7.8x–11.5x | $9.20–$12.65 |
| FV / EBITDA-CapEx 2012E | 11.4x | 13.9x | 16.4x | 11.4x–16.4x | $6.15–$8.70 |
| P / E 2012E | 13.3x | 19.9x | 23.4x | 13.3x–23.4x | $6.20–$10.95 |
Selected precedent transactions (18)
| Date | Target | Acquirer | Multiple |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2012-03 | KForce Clinical Research, Inc. | inVentiv Health, Inc. | — |
| 2012-01 | BioReliance Holdings, Inc. | Sigma-Aldrich Corporation | — |
| 2011-10 | Pharmaceutical Product Development, Inc. | The Carlyle Group | — |
| 2011-06 | Arch Chemicals | Lonza Group Ltd. | — |
| 2011-05 | MedPace Inc. | CCMP Capital Advisors | — |
| 2011-05 | PharmaNet Development Group, Inc. | inVentiv Health, Inc. | — |
| 2011-05 | Kendle International Inc. | INC Research, LLC | — |
| 2011-04 | Capsugel | KKR & Co. L.P. | — |
| 2011-02 | Lancaster Laboratories, Inc. | Eurofins Scientific SE | — |
| 2011-01 | i3 | Thomas H. Lee Partners | — |
| 2010-12 | ReSearch Pharamaceutical Services, Inc. | Warburg Pincus, LLC | — |
| 2010-08 | INC Research, LLC | Avista Capital Partners | — |
| 2010-08 | United BioSource Corporation | Medco Health Solutions, Inc. | — |
| 2010-05 | inVentiv Health, Inc. | Thomas H. Lee Partners | — |
| 2010-04 | CareFusion Research Services | eResearchTechnology, Inc. | — |
| 2010-04 | Phase Forward | Oracle Corporation | — |
| 2009-12 | Marken | Apax Partners | — |
| 2009-11 | Excel PharmaStudies, Inc. | PPD, Inc. | — |
| Multiple | Low | Median | High | Range applied | Implied per share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LTM P/E | 18.4x | 20.8x | 32.7x | 18.5x–22.5x | $7.50–$9.10 |
| LTM EBITDA | 7.0x | 10.1x | 19.8x | 7.0x–10.0x | $6.85–$9.55 |
Transaction fee of approximately $6 million; $1 million earned upon public announcement of the proposed transaction and the remainder payable upon completion. Engagement letter dated December 8, 2011, effective as of June 27, 2011; retained by the Special Committee as its and the Company's financial advisor. J.P. Morgan and affiliates had prior commercial/investment banking relationships with the Company and with Genstar and its affiliates.
Management projections
| Projection year | Year 1 | Year 2 | CAGR |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $220M | $240M | 9.1% |
| Revenue growth | 10.6% | 9.1% | |
| EBITDA | $63.0M | $71.0M | 12.7% |
| EBITDA growth | 14.5% | 12.7% | |
| EBITDA margin | 29% | 30% | |
| Implied EV / EBITDA | 6.7x | 6.0x |
Year-1 growth is against LTM at announcement ($199M revenue, $55.0M EBITDA); later years are year over year.
J.P. Morgan's DCF used unlevered free cash flows for fiscal years 2012 through 2021, based on financial projections for fiscal years 2012-2014 prepared by Company management, with extrapolations through 2021 reviewed and approved by management. Public trading multiples analysis relied on calendar 2012 estimated EBITDA, EBITDA less capital expenditures, and earnings (excluding transaction-related amortization). No specific revenue or EBITDA dollar figures were disclosed in the sliced sections.
Process notes
Other Pharmaceutical Services fairness opinions
- Patheon / JLL Partners 2013 · 12.7x EV/EBITDA
- Pharmaceutical Product Development / Hellman & Friedman and The Carlyle Group 2011 · 11.4x EV/EBITDA
- Kendle International / INC Research Holdings 2011 · 9.9x EV/EBITDA
- Covance / Laboratory Corporation of America 2014 · 12.6x EV/EBITDA
- inVentiv Health / Thomas H. Lee Partners 2010 · 7.3x EV/EBITDA
- ReSearch Pharmaceutical Services / Warburg Pincus 2010 · 12.4x EV/EBITDA
All Pharmaceutical Services opinions → · J.P. Morgan opinions