Fairness opinionsPharmaceutical Services2012

eResearch Technology acquired by Genstar Capital: fairness opinion by J.P. Morgan

Announced April 10, 2012 · Going-private · All cash · DEFM14A filed May 21, 2012
Pharmaceutical Services Consulting Sponsor: Genstar Capital LLC (Genstar Capital Partners VI, L.P.)
Enterprise value
$423M
EV / LTM EBITDA
7.7x
EBITDA $55.0M · 28% margin
EV / LTM revenue
2.13x
revenue $199M
DCF discount rate
11.0%–12.0%
Perpetuity growth

Deal terms

ConsiderationAll cash
Price per share
Premium
Premium basis
StructureGoing-private
Termination fee$11.0M (2.8% of equity)
Reverse termination fee$20.0M
Go-shopNone
Outside date

Implied value per share by method

Selected companies — FV / EBITDA 2012E $9.20 – $12.65
Selected companies — FV / EBITDA-CapEx 2012E $6.15 – $8.70
Selected companies — P / E 2012E $6.20 – $10.95
Precedent transactions — LTM P/E $7.50 – $9.10
Precedent transactions — LTM EBITDA $6.85 – $9.55
Discounted cash flow $7.20 – $8.50

Ranges as disclosed in the banker’s summary of analyses.

Opinion of J.P. Morgan to the target board

Delivered April 9, 2012 · Fee $6.0M ($5.0M contingent on closing)

Discounted cash flow assumptions

Discount rate11.0%–12.0%
BasisAnalysis of the weighted average cost of capital of the Company
Terminal valuePerpetuity growth
Perpetuity growth2.0%–3.0%
Exit multiple
Projection period2012E-2021E
Projections usedCompany management projections for fiscal years 2012-2014 and certain extrapolations reviewed and approved by Company management
Implied value per share$7.20–$8.50

Unlevered free cash flows from FY2012 through FY2021; terminal asset values calculated at end of 10-year period ending December 31, 2021.

Selected public companies (5)

Covance Inc. · Charles River Laboratories International, Inc. · PAREXEL International Corporation · ICON plc · Medidata Solutions, Inc.

MultiplePeer lowPeer medianPeer highRange appliedImplied per share
FV / EBITDA 2012E7.8x9.1x11.5x 7.8x–11.5x $9.20–$12.65
FV / EBITDA-CapEx 2012E11.4x13.9x16.4x 11.4x–16.4x $6.15–$8.70
P / E 2012E13.3x19.9x23.4x 13.3x–23.4x $6.20–$10.95

Selected precedent transactions (18)

DateTargetAcquirerMultiple
2012-03KForce Clinical Research, Inc.inVentiv Health, Inc.
2012-01BioReliance Holdings, Inc.Sigma-Aldrich Corporation
2011-10Pharmaceutical Product Development, Inc.The Carlyle Group
2011-06Arch ChemicalsLonza Group Ltd.
2011-05MedPace Inc.CCMP Capital Advisors
2011-05PharmaNet Development Group, Inc.inVentiv Health, Inc.
2011-05Kendle International Inc.INC Research, LLC
2011-04CapsugelKKR & Co. L.P.
2011-02Lancaster Laboratories, Inc.Eurofins Scientific SE
2011-01i3Thomas H. Lee Partners
2010-12ReSearch Pharamaceutical Services, Inc.Warburg Pincus, LLC
2010-08INC Research, LLCAvista Capital Partners
2010-08United BioSource CorporationMedco Health Solutions, Inc.
2010-05inVentiv Health, Inc.Thomas H. Lee Partners
2010-04CareFusion Research ServiceseResearchTechnology, Inc.
2010-04Phase ForwardOracle Corporation
2009-12MarkenApax Partners
2009-11Excel PharmaStudies, Inc.PPD, Inc.
MultipleLowMedianHighRange appliedImplied per share
LTM P/E18.4x20.8x32.7x 18.5x–22.5x $7.50–$9.10
LTM EBITDA7.0x10.1x19.8x 7.0x–10.0x $6.85–$9.55

Transaction fee of approximately $6 million; $1 million earned upon public announcement of the proposed transaction and the remainder payable upon completion. Engagement letter dated December 8, 2011, effective as of June 27, 2011; retained by the Special Committee as its and the Company's financial advisor. J.P. Morgan and affiliates had prior commercial/investment banking relationships with the Company and with Genstar and its affiliates.

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Management projections

Projection yearYear 1Year 2CAGR
Revenue$220M$240M9.1%
Revenue growth10.6%9.1%
EBITDA$63.0M$71.0M12.7%
EBITDA growth14.5%12.7%
EBITDA margin29%30%
Implied EV / EBITDA6.7x6.0x

Year-1 growth is against LTM at announcement ($199M revenue, $55.0M EBITDA); later years are year over year.

J.P. Morgan's DCF used unlevered free cash flows for fiscal years 2012 through 2021, based on financial projections for fiscal years 2012-2014 prepared by Company management, with extrapolations through 2021 reviewed and approved by management. Public trading multiples analysis relied on calendar 2012 estimated EBITDA, EBITDA less capital expenditures, and earnings (excluding transaction-related amortization). No specific revenue or EBITDA dollar figures were disclosed in the sliced sections.

Process notes

Going-private buyout of eResearchTechnology by Genstar Capital affiliates (Explorer Holdings, Inc. / Explorer Acquisition Corp.). A Special Committee retained J.P. Morgan (engagement letter dated December 8, 2011, effective June 27, 2011) as financial advisor to it and the Company; J.P. Morgan delivered an oral opinion on April 9, 2012 confirmed in writing the same date to the full board. Negotiations involved an exclusivity period with Genstar that was extended; Genstar reduced the termination fee from 3% to approximately 2.75% of transaction value ($11 million) in exchange for expense reimbursement of up to $3 million (final agreement: up to $2.9 million expense reimbursement upon failure to obtain stockholder approval). Parent termination fee of $20 million payable on failure to close due to the Financing Condition, backed by a Limited Guaranty from Genstar Capital Partners VI, L.P. capped at $20 million and expiring January 5, 2013. J.P. Morgan disclosed prior relationships with both the Company and Genstar/Catalent.

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