Fairness opinionsDigital / HealthTech2021

Change Healthcare acquired by Optum: fairness opinion

Announced January 6, 2021 · Merger · DEFM14A filed March 5, 2021
Digital / HealthTech Analytics Filing detail pending
Enterprise value
$14B
EV / LTM EBITDA
13.8x
EBITDA $996M · 32% margin
EV / LTM revenue
4.46x
revenue $3.1B
DCF discount rate
6.8%–7.8%

Deal terms

Consideration
Price per share
Premium
Premium basis
StructureMerger
Termination fee
Reverse termination fee
Go-shopNone
Outside date
3,000+ healthcare deal-level valuation multiples
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Management projections

Projection yearYear 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5CAGR
Revenue$2.9B$3.3B$3.5B$3.7B$3.9B8.1%
Revenue growth-6.0%14.4%6.3%5.9%6.1%
EBITDA$888M$1.1B$1.1B$1.2B$1.3B10.8%
EBITDA growth-10.8%18.4%9.0%8.1%8.1%
EBITDA margin31%32%33%33%34%
Implied EV / EBITDA15.5x13.1x12.0x11.1x10.2x

Year-1 growth is against LTM at announcement ($3.1B revenue, $996M EBITDA); later years are year over year.

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