Fairness opinionsDigital / HealthTech2022

Benefitfocus acquired by Voya Financial: fairness opinion by Barclays

Announced November 1, 2022 · One-step merger · All cash · DEFM14A filed December 19, 2022
Digital / HealthTech Payer Solutions
Enterprise value
$570M
EV / LTM EBITDA
11.6x
EBITDA $49.0M · 19% margin
EV / LTM revenue
2.25x
revenue $253M
DCF discount rate
11.0%–13.0%
Exit multiple

Deal terms

ConsiderationAll cash
Price per share$10.50
Premium
Premium basis
StructureOne-step merger
Termination fee$14.0M
Reverse termination fee
Go-shopNone
Outside date

Implied value per share by method vs. $10.50 offer

Selected companies — EV / CY2023E Adj. EBITDA $5.97 – $8.58
Precedent transactions — EV / LTM EBITDA $6.87 – $10.03
Discounted cash flow $7.63 – $11.09
Illustrative Future Share Price Analysis (NTM EBITDA @ 12/31/2024) $7.13 – $9.46
Illustrative Future Share Price Analysis (NTM EBITDA @ 12/31/2025) $8.58 – $10.83
Discounted Cash Flow Analysis of Alternative Case 1 $11.06 – $15.35
Equity Research Target Prices Review $6.00 – $10.00
Precedent Transactions Premium Paid Analysis (1-Day Price) $8.81 – $10.93
Precedent Transactions Premium Paid Analysis (30-Day Average Price) $7.95 – $9.86
Historical Share Price Analysis $5.69 – $13.06

Ranges as disclosed in the banker’s summary of analyses; the red line marks the per-share consideration.

Opinion of Barclays to the target board

Delivered November 2, 2022 · Fee $12.1M ($11.1M contingent on closing), $1.0M on delivery of the opinion

Discounted cash flow assumptions

Discount rate11.0%–13.0%
Basisafter-tax WACC of Benefitfocus
Terminal valueExit multiple
Perpetuity growth
Exit multiple9.5x–11.5x LTM Adj. EBITDA
Projection periodQ4 2022E-2026E
Projections usedManagement Case (plus Company NOL Projections)
Implied value per share$7.63–$11.09

Mid-year convention; subtracted estimated net debt of $(143.0) million as of 9/30/2022 and Preferred Stock liquidation value of $80.0 million; added PV of post-2026 tax savings from NOLs; fully diluted shares of 34.4m common, 4.2m RSUs/PRSUs, 0.1m options at $13.53 WAEP.

Selected public companies (1)

Alight Solutions LLC

MultiplePeer lowPeer medianPeer highRange appliedImplied per share
EV / CY2022E Revenue2.5x2.5x2.5x
EV / CY2023E Revenue2.3x2.3x2.3x
EV / CY2022E Adj. EBITDA11.7x11.7x11.7x
EV / CY2023E Adj. EBITDA10.3x10.3x10.3x 9.0x–11.0x $5.97–$8.58

Selected precedent transactions (12)

DateTargetAcquirerMultiple
2022-10-03bswift LLCFrancisco Partners, LP
2022-06-21Convey Health Solutions Holdings, Inc.TPG, Inc.15.7x EV/EBITDA LTM
2022-06-16LifeWorks Holdings, Inc.Telus Corp15.7x EV/EBITDA LTM
2022-01-05Castlight Health, Inc.Vera Whole Health, Inc.20.9x EV/EBITDA LTM
2021-12-01Businessolver.com, Inc.Stone Point Capital LLC
2021-04-04Benefit Express Services, LLCWex, Inc.
2021-01-25Alight Solutions LLCFoley Trasimene Acquisition Corp.13.3x EV/EBITDA LTM
2020-10-27Health Advocate, Inc.Teleperformance S.A.13.9x EV/EBITDA LTM
2020-07-28Edifecs, Inc. (51% stake)TA Associates Management, L.P./Francisco Partners, LP
2019-11-25Empyrean Capital Partners, LPSecurian Financial Services, Inc.
2019-06-27WageWorks, Inc.HealthEquity, Inc.10.8x EV/EBITDA LTM
2019-01-17Discovery Benefits, Inc.WEX, Inc.21.3x EV/EBITDA LTM
MultipleLowMedianHighRange appliedImplied per share
EV / LTM Revenue2.2x3.1x4.9x
EV / NTM Revenue2.2x2.7x4.5x
EV / LTM EBITDA10.8x15.7x21.3x 12.0x–15.0x $6.87–$10.03
EV / NTM EBITDA11.0x12.2x14.5x

Other analyses

AnalysisSummaryImplied per share
Illustrative Future Share Price Analysis (NTM EBITDA @ 12/31/2024)Applied 9.0x-11.0x EV/NTM Adj. EBITDA multiples to Management Case; discounted to present at 15.0% cost of equity.$7.13–$9.46
Illustrative Future Share Price Analysis (NTM EBITDA @ 12/31/2025)Applied 9.0x-11.0x EV/NTM Adj. EBITDA multiples to Management Case; discounted to present at 15.0% cost of equity.$8.58–$10.83
Discounted Cash Flow Analysis of Alternative Case 1Same methodology as primary DCF (9.5x-11.5x LTM Adj. EBITDA exit multiples; 11.0%-13.0% after-tax discount rates) using Alternative Case 1 cash flows; $10.50 was below this range.$11.06–$15.35
Equity Research Target Prices ReviewOne-year forward price targets from three equity research firms covering Benefitfocus as of October 31, 2022.$6.00–$10.00
Precedent Transactions Premium Paid Analysis (1-Day Price)Reviewed premiums paid in 50 diversified industry M&A transactions with target equity value between $100.0 million and $1.5 billion from March 12, 2019 to July 21, 2022; applied 25.0%-55.0% premium range to the October 31, 2022 closing price.$8.81–$10.93
Precedent Transactions Premium Paid Analysis (30-Day Average Price)Applied 25.0%-55.0% premium range to the 30-trading day VWAP of Common Stock ending October 31, 2022.$7.95–$9.86
Historical Share Price Analysis52-week period from November 1, 2021 to October 31, 2022; closing prices ranged from $5.69 to $13.06 per share.$5.69–$13.06

$1.0 million Opinion Fee payable upon delivery of opinion, not contingent on conclusion or consummation; approximately $11.11 million additional payable upon completion of the Merger (against which the Opinion Fee and $250,000 of previously earned advisory fees are credited). Aggregate fees invoiced by Barclays to Benefitfocus for advisory services in past two years approximately $3.25 million.

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Management projections

Projection yearYear 1Year 2Year 3Year 4CAGR
Revenue$246M$260M$281M$309M7.9%
Revenue growth-2.8%5.7%8.1%10.0%
EBITDA$50.0M$55.0M$62.0M$74.0M14.0%
EBITDA growth2.0%10.0%12.7%19.4%
EBITDA margin20%21%22%24%
Implied EV / EBITDA11.4x10.4x9.2x7.7x

Year-1 growth is against LTM at announcement ($253M revenue, $49.0M EBITDA); later years are year over year.

Barclays used the Management Case prepared by Benefitfocus management, covering the last quarter of fiscal 2022 and fiscal years 2023 through 2026, along with Company NOL Projections for future utilization of net operating losses. An Alternative Case 1 was also prepared and used in a supplemental DCF (as an informational reference), which produced higher implied values ($11.06-$15.35) than the Management Case DCF. Headline revenue/EBITDA figures were not disclosed in the sliced sections; Adj. EBITDA was the principal valuation metric.

Process notes

Single financial advisor to the target (Barclays); Perella Weinberg Partners LP acted as financial advisor to Voya but did not deliver an opinion disclosed here. Opinion given orally on November 1, 2022 and confirmed in writing November 2, 2022; addresses only fairness of the $10.50 per share Common Stock consideration to holders of Common Stock (excluding Excluded Shares) and expressly not the Preferred Stock consideration. Selected comparable company analysis used only one comparable company (Alight Solutions LLC). BG and Indaba, holding ~23.4% of voting power, entered Support Agreements. Termination fee negotiated down from Voya's proposed 4%-of-equity-value / $15.0 million to $14.0 million.

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