Performant Healthcare acquired by Machinify: fairness opinion by Truist Securities
Deal terms
Implied value per share by method vs. $7.75 offer
Ranges as disclosed in the banker’s summary of analyses; the red line marks the per-share consideration.
Opinion of Truist Securities to the target board
Discounted cash flow assumptions
Net present value of projected unlevered after-tax free cash flows.
Selected public companies (7)
Definitive Healthcare Corp. · Evolent Health, Inc. · Health Catalyst, Inc. · OptimizeRx Corp. · Progyny, Inc. · Talkspace, Inc. · TruBridge, Inc.
| Multiple | Peer low | Peer median | Peer high | Range applied | Implied per share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EV / 2025E Revenue | 1.0x | 1.5x | 3.0x | 1.0x–3.0x | $1.63–$5.09 |
| EV / 2025E Adjusted EBITDA | 8.2x | 11.3x | 21.1x | 8.2x–21.1x | $1.50–$3.83 |
Selected precedent transactions (7)
| Date | Target | Acquirer | Multiple |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-06 | Convey Health Solutions Holdings, Inc. | TPG Capital | 15.7x EV / LTM EBITDA |
| 2022-04 | Tivity Health, Inc. | Stone Point Capital | 12.8x EV / LTM EBITDA |
| 2020-12 | HMS Holdings Corp. | Gainwell Technologies | 21.2x EV / LTM EBITDA |
| 2018-06 | Cotiviti Holdings, Inc. | Veritas Capital | 17.6x EV / LTM EBITDA |
| 2025-01 | Accolade, Inc. | Transcarent, Inc. | 1.4x EV / LTM Revenue |
| 2024-06 | Sharecare, Inc. | Atlaris, LLC | 1.2x EV / LTM Revenue |
| 2022-01 | Castlight Health, Inc. | Vera Whole Health Inc. | 2.1x EV / LTM Revenue |
| Multiple | Low | Median | High | Range applied | Implied per share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EV / LTM EBITDA (scaled targets; LTM ending May 31, 2025) | 12.8x | 16.6x | 21.2x | 12.8x–21.2x | $1.78–$2.93 |
| EV / LTM Revenue (scaling targets; LTM ending May 31, 2025) | 1.2x | 1.4x | 2.1x | 1.2x–2.1x | $1.94–$3.27 |
Other analyses
| Analysis | Summary | Implied per share |
|---|---|---|
| Historical Trading Prices (52-week range) | For informational purposes only, not part of the opinion: 52-week high of $4.44 on July 10, 2025 and 52-week low of $2.17 on May 8, 2025, compared with $7.75 Merger Consideration and $3.63 closing price on July 25, 2025. | $2.17–$4.44 |
Fee of approximately $23.7 million; $1.0 million payable upon delivery of opinion, remainder contingent on consummation of the Merger. Expense reimbursement and indemnity also provided.
Management projections
| Projection year | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | CAGR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $187M | $223M | $260M | $290M | $317M | 14.1% |
| Revenue growth | 28.5% | 19.4% | 16.4% | 11.5% | 9.5% | |
| EBITDA | $38.4M | $60.4M | $81.6M | $94.7M | $106M | 28.8% |
| EBITDA growth | 147.7% | 57.3% | 35.1% | 16.1% | 11.7% | |
| EBITDA margin | 21% | 27% | 31% | 33% | 33% | |
| Implied EV / EBITDA | 17.4x | 11.1x | 8.2x | 7.1x | 6.3x |
Year-1 growth is against LTM at announcement ($146M revenue, $15.5M EBITDA); later years are year over year.
Management prepared standalone unaudited Projections for fiscal years 2025 through 2030, provided to the Board, Truist and potential bidders including Machinify. Revenue grows from $145.5 million in 2025 to $317.3 million in 2030, with Adjusted EBITDA rising from $15.5 million to $105.8 million; unlevered free cash flow goes from ($0.7) million in 2025 to $59.9 million in 2030, assuming a 25% tax rate plus NOL tax shields in 2025-2026. Truist was authorized and directed to use and rely upon the Projections for its analyses and opinion.
Process notes
Other Managed Care fairness opinions
- NeueHealth / New Enterprise Associates 2024 · 54.7x EV/EBITDA
- Magellan Health / Centene 2021 · 15.6x EV/EBITDA
- WellCare Health Plans / Centene 2019 · 14.5x EV/EBITDA
- Dental Care Plus Group / DentaQuest 2019 · 10.4x EV/EBITDA
- Express Scripts Holding / Cigna 2018 · 11.6x EV/EBITDA
- Aetna / CVS Health 2017 · 12.1x EV/EBITDA