Fairness opinionsMedical Devices and Supplies2017

Derma Sciences acquired by Integra Lifesciences: fairness opinion by Greenhill

Announced January 10, 2017 · Tender offer · All cash · SC 14D9 filed January 25, 2017
Medical Devices and Supplies Advanced Materials
Enterprise value
$248M
EV / LTM EBITDA
EBITDA $-6.9M · -8% margin
EV / LTM revenue
3.03x
revenue $81.6M
DCF discount rate
13.0%–15.0%
Exit multiple

Deal terms

ConsiderationAll cash
Price per share$7.00
Premium40.0%
Premium basisclosing price of $5.00 per share on January 9, 2017 (day prior to announcement)
StructureTender offer
Termination fee$6.1M (3.0% of equity)
Reverse termination fee
Go-shopNone
Outside date

Implied value per share by method vs. $7.00 offer

Selected companies — EV / 2017E Revenue $3.75 – $4.70
Precedent transactions — EV / LTM Revenue $5.57 – $6.75
Discounted cash flow $3.70 – $5.85
Sum-of-the-Parts Analysis $3.13 – $5.04
Premiums Paid - one day $7.00 – $7.75
Premiums Paid - one week $7.54 – $8.06
Premiums Paid - four weeks $6.48 – $7.20
52-Week Trading Range (informational) $2.85 – $5.86
Analyst Price Target (informational) $8.50

Ranges as disclosed in the banker’s summary of analyses; the red line marks the per-share consideration.

Opinion of Greenhill to the target board

Delivered January 10, 2017 · Fee $5.3M ($4.8M contingent on closing), $0.5M on delivery of the opinion

Discounted cash flow assumptions

Discount rate13.0%–15.0%
BasisGreenhill's estimate of the Company's weighted average cost of capital
Terminal valueExit multiple
Perpetuity growth
Exit multiple1.0x–1.5x terminal revenue multiple applied to FY2019
Projection periodthrough fiscal year ending December 31, 2019
Projections usedCompany Base Case Forecasts and Company Investment Case Forecasts (management)
Implied value per share$3.70–$5.85

Base Case: $3.70-$5.85 per share; Investment Case: $5.71-$8.52 per share. Present values as of December 31, 2016 using mid-year convention.

Selected public companies (5)

MiMedx Group, Inc. · Anika Therapeutics, Inc. · Advanced Medical Solutions Group plc · Tissue Regenix Group plc · Alliqua BioMedical, Inc.

MultiplePeer lowPeer medianPeer highRange appliedImplied per share
EV / 2016E Revenue1.2x4.7x6.3x
EV / 2017E Revenue0.8x5.1x17.0x 1.0x–1.3x $3.75–$4.70
EV / 2018E Revenue0.5x4.7x6.9x

Selected precedent transactions (20)

DateTargetAcquirerMultiple
2016-12Acelity L.P. (LifeCell Corporation)Allergan plc
2016-10Soluble Systems, LLCAlliqua Biomedical, Inc.
2016-07BioD, LLCThe Company (Derma Sciences, Inc.)
2016-05EuroMed, Inc.Scapa Group plc
2016-01Stability Inc.MiMedx Group, Inc.
2015-06TEI Biosciences Inc. and TEI Medical Inc.Integra LifeSciences Holdings Corporation
2015-02Celleration, Inc.Alliqua Biomedical, Inc.
2014-10Transplant Technologies of Texas, Ltd.Globus Medical, Inc.
2014-05Choice Therapeutics, Inc.Alliqua Biomedical, Inc.
2014-01Shire plc (Dermagraft assets)Organogenesis Inc.
2013-07Systagenix Wound Management LimitedKinetic Concepts, Inc.
2013-06Pioneer Surgical Technology, Inc.RTI Biologics Inc.
2012-11Healthpoint Biotherapeutics Ltd.Smith & Nephew plc
2012-06BSN Medical GmbHEQT Partners AB
2012-05Kensey Nash CorporationKoninklijke DSM N.V.
2012-03MedEfficiency, Inc.The Company (Derma Sciences, Inc.)
2012-02Aldagen, Inc.Cytomedix, Inc.
2012-12Synovis Life Technologies, Inc.Baxter International Inc.
2011-05Advanced BioHealing Inc.Shire plc
2011-05Orthovita, Inc.Stryker Corporation
MultipleLowMedianHighRange appliedImplied per share
EV / LTM Revenue1.4x3.4x6.4x 2.0x–2.5x $5.57–$6.75

Other analyses

AnalysisSummaryImplied per share
Sum-of-the-Parts AnalysisSeparate EV/2017E revenue multiples of 1.00x-1.50x applied to advanced wound care revenue and 0.25x-0.75x to traditional wound care revenue (Company Base Case Forecasts), plus cash, Comvita investment and notes receivable, less preferred stock value and BioD product payment/earnouts.$3.13–$5.04
Premiums Paid - one day40%-55% premium reference range applied to $5.00 closing price on January 9, 2017.$7.00–$7.75
Premiums Paid - one week45%-55% premium reference range applied to $5.20 closing price on January 2, 2017.$7.54–$8.06
Premiums Paid - four weeks35%-50% premium reference range applied to $4.80 closing price on December 12, 2016.$6.48–$7.20
52-Week Trading Range (informational)Low and high closing prices for Company Shares over the 52-week period ended January 9, 2017.$2.85–$5.86
Analyst Price Target (informational)Publicly available one-year forward Wall Street research analyst stock price target of $8.50.$8.50
Company vs. Peer Index Historical MultiplesCompany average EV/LTM revenue of 0.78x/1.03x/1.29x over last 1/2/3 years vs. peer index 3.81x/4.34x/4.78x; EV/NTM revenue 0.70x/0.94x/1.15x vs. peer index 3.30x/3.44x/3.79x.

Aggregate fee of $5.3 million; $500,000 payable following delivery of the opinion regardless of conclusion and $4.8 million contingent on consummation. Greenhill received approximately $1.9 million in unrelated fees from the Company during the prior two years; no services for Parent/Purchaser during that period.

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Management projections

Projection yearYear 1Year 2Year 3CAGR
Revenue$112M$137M$168M22.5%
Revenue growth36.8%22.8%22.2%
EBITDA$4.4M$9.9M$19.4M110.0%
EBITDA growth125.0%96.0%
EBITDA margin4%7%12%
Implied EV / EBITDA56.3x25.0x12.8x

Year-1 growth is against LTM at announcement ($81.6M revenue, $-6.9M EBITDA); later years are year over year.

Company management prepared two sets of long-term projections in December 2016 — a base case (reflecting the Company's preliminary 2017 budget approved by the Derma Board) and an investment case (assuming aggressive sales force investment, with higher execution risk and cost cutting elsewhere). Both were reviewed with the Derma Board, furnished to Greenhill for its fairness opinion and provided to Parent and Purchaser for diligence. Greenhill's DCF ran cash flows through the fiscal year ending December 31, 2019 under both cases; no specific revenue or EBITDA figures were disclosed in the sliced sections.

Process notes

Single financial advisor (Greenhill & Co.) delivering an opinion to the Derma Sciences board; no special committee. Structure was an all-cash tender offer by Integra LifeSciences at $7.00 per common share; Company Preferred Stock handled separately (initial draft had preferred receiving liquidation preference). Initial Integra draft merger agreement proposed 80% stock/20% cash consideration and a 4% termination fee; final deal was all cash with a $6.12 million (approximately 3.0%) termination fee. Greenhill's DCF Investment Case ($5.71-$8.52) was the only analysis whose range fully bracketed the $7.00 offer price; premiums-paid analyses also supported the price.

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